Agricultural Export Earning to Remain Strong

Released by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) today, the report finds that exports earnings from the agricultural, fisheries, and forestry sectors are forecast to be around $38.9 billion in 201213, which is a 1 per cent decline on 201112 exports but 21 per cent higher than the average over the previous five years (to 201011).

ABARES Executive Director, Paul Morris, said that despite a slowdown in world income growth, Australias rural exports are expected to remain strong.

This is largely reflected by continued demand growth in the Asian region and markedly higher export prices for grains and oilseeds, Mr Morris said.

The value of farm exports is forecast to be around $35.2 billion in 201213, slightly lower than the recent high of $35.9 billion in 201112.

At this forecast level, the value of farm exports in 201213 will be around 24 per cent higher than the partly droughtaffected average of $28.4 billion in the five years ending 201011.

The value of crop exports is forecast to remain at a high of $21 billion in 201213, supported by the export of the bumper 201112 winter grain crop and markedly higher world prices of grains and oilseeds.

Because of adverse seasonal conditions in the United States and the Black Sea region, world prices have risen sharply over the past few months.

Export earnings from livestock and livestock products are forecast to be around $14.2 billion in 201213, compared with an estimated $14.7 billion in 201112.

Although export prices for livestock and livestock products are forecast to be generally weaker, the impact on export earnings is expected to be mostly offset by forecast higher export shipments.

Farm commodities for which export earnings are forecast to increase in 201213 include wheat (15 per cent), rice (6 per cent), grain sorghum (19 per cent), wine (1 per cent) and sheep meat (3 per cent).

For forest and fisheries products, export earnings in 201213 are forecast to rise by 5.2 per cent and 4.6 per cent to $2.3 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively.

Further Reading You can view the full report by clicking here.